Odds On Miami Dolphins

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If the Dolphins win at Las Vegas on Saturday, and at Buffalo the following Sunday, they'll qualify for the NFL playoffs with an 11-5 record.

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It may be that simple. Lose a game, and it's not.

Is there any path into the playoffs without road wins to conclude the season? Well, yes, but it seems quite unlikely.

Then again, the Jets beat the Rams on Sunday. So — we're saying there's a chance.

With two weeks to play, here are the current playoff odds of the contending AFC teams, according to fivethirtyeight.com:

Chiefs (13-1): Qualified

Bills (11-3): Qualified

Steelers (11-2): Qualified

Colts (10-4): 91 percent

Titans (10-4): 98 percent

Browns (10-4): 92 percent

Ravens (9-5): 89 percent

Dolphins (9-5): 31 percent

The reason Miami is given such long odds is that Buffalo will be a reasonably big home favorite against the Dolphins on Jan. 3. We can guess perhaps five or six points.

No computer can account for if the Bills may be resting some players if their playoff position is locked, or if their players may not have quite the same motivation as Miami's.

Remember, in the second-to-last week of 2016, Miami won at Buffalo to earn the franchise its first playoff appearance since 2008.

It was cold then. It will likely be cold this January.

The Dolphins are favored by 2.5 points at Las Vegas on Saturday at 8:15 p.m.

More: 5 Instant Takeaways: Dolphins overpower Patriots, make AFC East statement

© Jeff Romance, The Palm Beach Post Dolphins defensive end Christian Wilkins (94) tackles New England Patriots running back Sony Michel (26) during the first quarter of Sunday's 22-12 Dolphins win.

The Raiders have lost four of five, just fired their defensive coordinator and aren't sure if quarterback Derek Carr (groin) will be able to start.

Miami, meanwhile, could get some combination of DeVante Parker, Ereck Flowers, Jakeem Grant and/or Mike Gesicki back from injuries. They all missed Sunday's 22-12 victory against the Patriots.

The Dolphins are already guaranteed their second winning season since 2008. But there is more to play for.

If the Dolphins were to lose one of the final two games, could they still get in?

Well, Miami would qualify if the Ravens, Colts or Browns lose two games. But each of them face at least one woeful opponent in the final two weeks.

It is also possible Miami could get in if Baltimore loses at Cincinnati and Miami splits. But the Ravens losing to the Bengals with a potential playoff spot on the line?

Baltimore: vs. Giants (5-9); at Bengals (2-10-1)

Indianapolis: at Steelers (11-2); vs. Jaguars (1-13)

Cleveland: at Jets (1-13); vs. Steelers (11-2)

Vegas Odds On Miami Dolphins Going 0-16

More: Miami Dolphins' Salvon Ahmed breaks out with 122 yards

It's hard to imagine the Jaguars or Jets winning another game, but we may suggest the Browns the most likely of the three above teams to choke away a playoff berth.

Still, it's highly unlikely.

Odds

As for the Dolphins, they're 1-7 in their last eight trips to Buffalo, dating back to 2012.

But this is a new team, with new players. A new coach. And a new confidence. There is every reason to believe they would be competitive with an entire season on the line.

For the record, no computer is entirely sold on Miami's chances at the moment.

The New York Times sees Miami's odds at 48 percent. Football Outsiders suggests Miami's current odds are 42 percent.

This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Miami Dolphins playoffs: What are the latest odds? Is win-out required?

The New England Patriots (6-7) are back on the road in Week 15 for their third straight game away from home. They’ll visit the Miami Dolphins (8-5), who are fighting for positioning in the AFC playoff race. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET Sunday. Below, we preview the Patriots-Dolphins betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Dolphins: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Patriots +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Dolphins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)Against the spread/ATS: Patriots +2 (-110) Dolphins -2 (-110)Over/Under: 41.5 (O: -105 U: -115)

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Patriots at Dolphins: Game notes

The Patriots beat the Dolphins 21-11 in Week 1 but have gone just 5-7 since.The Dolphins rank second in the NFL in points allowed per game despite ranking just 18th in passing yards allowed and 21st in rushing yards allowed.The Patriots have the fifth-most rushing yards in the league but rank just 29th in passing.New England is 2-1 in its last three games against the Dolphins, with an average score of 29.3-12.7.The total has gone Under in each of the Patriots’ last five games. It has also gone Under in four of the last six meetings between these teams.

Patriots at Dolphins: Key injuries

Patriots

OL Jermaine Eluemunor (ankle) questionableCB Jonathan Jones (neck) questionableCB J.C. Jackson (knee) questionableRB James White (foot) questionableRB Damien Harris (ankle) questionableDL Adam Butler (shoulder) questionableOL Shaq Mason (calf) questionableDL Lawrence Guy (shoulder) questionable

Dolphins

TE Mike Gesicki (shoulder) questionableS

Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

DolphinsBobby McCain (ankle) questionableRB Salvon Ahmed (shoulder) questionableOL Ereck Flowers (ankle) questionableWR

Odds Miami Dolphins Win Super Bowl

Jakeem Grant Sr. (hamstring questionableWR

Seattle Miami Odds

DeVante Parker (hamstring) questionableLB Elandon Roberts (chest) questionableLB Kyle Van Noy (hip) questionableLB Jerome Baker (knee) questionable

Patriots at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Vegas Odds On Miami Dolphins

Prediction

Dolphins 21, Patriots 14

Odds Miami Dolphins Go Winless

Money line (?)

The Dolphins come in as the much better team, which is rare considering the Patriots’ incredible success over the last 20 years. Miami has a top-five defense this season and an offense that does enough to win games as a complementary piece.

Odds On Miami Dolphins

I like the DOLPHINS (-125) to win outright at home, with Miami being a traditionally difficult place for the Patriots to win.

Against the spread (?)

The spread of 2 points isn’t very big at all, especially considering the Dolphins are at home. Miami’s defense will shut down New England’s offense for the better part of this game, and as good as the Patriots’ secondary is, their run defense is porous.

Take the DOLPHINS -2 (-110) to cover the 2.5-point margin and win by at least a field goal at home as they continue to fight for a playoff berth.

Over/Under (?)

The total has gone Under in most recent meetings between these two teams, and even with the line being lower at 41.5 points, I still like the UNDER (-115). Both secondaries are great, which will make throwing the ball difficult.

I don’t see either offense doing too much successfully throughout the game, which is why you should take the Under.

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Also see:

Flashback Friday: Patriots squish the fish in 2020 season opener (Patriots Wire)Multiple paths to Dolphins clinching postseason berth in Week 16 (Dolphins Wire)

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